The multifamily commercial real estate (CRE) landscape is undergoing a significant transformation, particularly in the realm of property insurance. Left unaddressed, this escalating cost trend could create substantial economic challenges for the CRE market, potentially impacting the broader economy. Recent analyses conducted by respected organizations such as the National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and global actuarial firm Milliman highlight a critical trend: the rising cost of property insurance is not a temporary setback but a new reality for the industry.
This shift is primarily driven by climate-related losses, particularly unpredictable secondary perils that are increasingly falling within insurer’s retention levels. This means insurers themselves are bearing the brunt of these losses, leading them to raise premiums to compensate.
The current insurance market scenario underscores a persistent increase in catastrophic (cat) losses, leading reinsurers to impose higher retentions on insurance companies. This change has been driven by the need to adjust for inflation, effectively raising the monetary thresholds (attachment points) at which reinsurance coverage begins. As a result, there has been a structural shift in catastrophe programs, compelling insurers to either bear a larger portion of the risk or consider exiting the market entirely.
Additionally, continuing on from 2023, the insurance-linked securities (ILS) market in 2024 continues to exhibit growth and profitability. This is largely due to the high-risk nature of these instruments, which have not experienced significant losses. Yields continue to be attractive, especially as an uncorrelated asset class for investors. The broader property market's hopes for material softening, however, has not materialized. Apart from capital flows in certain high exposure markets providing relief for a previously a significant supply-demand dislocation, high-profile attempts to raise equity in 2023 and 2024 for new (re)insurance ventures have not been realized, with persistent volatility and unabated increases in Severe Convective Storm losses making investors reconsider their risk tolerance.
Against this backdrop, multifamily commercial real estate asset owners must navigate these turbulent waters with strategic acumen. Here are some pivotal strategies to consider:
Leveraging advanced analytics and machine learning (ML) can uncover attributes not previously considered in traditional loss analytics. This approach can lead to significant savings on the pure premium element of insurance costs. For example, ML algorithms can analyze building occupancy patterns, weather data and maintenance records to predict risks like burst pipes or tenant damage, leading to targeted prevention measures that reduce potential losses and insurance costs.
Captive insurance, as detailed in analysis by Milliman and discussions by industry experts, offers a viable alternative for managing property risks. By forming or joining a captive insurance company, asset owners can gain more control over their insurance costs and coverage terms. This structure can provide material cost savings through efficient risk management and tailored insurance solutions.
With climate-related losses on the rise, investing in loss prevention and mitigation measures has never been more crucial. This includes adopting sustainable building practices, enhancing building resilience against natural disasters, and implementing advanced monitoring technologies to prevent losses before they occur. Specific examples include investing in fire-resistant building materials, advanced flood mitigation systems, and smart home leak detection technology.
The changing dynamics in the reinsurance market necessitate a more diversified approach to reinsurance. This might involve exploring alternative reinsurance structures, including catastrophe bonds, sidecars, and other insurance-linked securities (ILS) that offer different risk-reward profiles. Catastrophe bonds offer targeted protection against specific natural disasters, while sidecars allow co-investment with other insurers, spreading risk and potentially lowering costs.
Finally, it is imperative to educate CFOs, CEOs, and other stakeholders involved in the risk elements of properties about these developments. Understanding the intricacies of captive insurance, reinsurance pooling, and the impact of climate change on insurance costs is essential for making informed decisions.
In conclusion, multifamily commercial real estate asset owners are facing a challenging insurance landscape marked by rising costs and increasing risks. By adopting a multifaceted strategy that includes leveraging advanced analytics, exploring captive insurance options, investing in loss prevention, diversifying reinsurance strategies, and educating leadership, asset owners can navigate these challenges more effectively. This approach will not only help manage costs but also ensure that their assets are protected in an increasingly unpredictable world.
Don’t let rising insurance costs drown your profits! Contact us today at info@assurified.com to explore data-driven strategies to navigate the new insurance landscape and ensure your assets are protected.